Jack, once again you utilize slanted data. SP&R is a notoriously Republican leaning polling organization. Simply check out their client list -http://www.susquehannapolling.com/clients.html

With respect, the President is going to annihilate the GOP. Here is the best polling analysis of the last 4 elections. http://election.princeton.edu/ If I were a Republican, I would stay home or choose a winner, a competent official and an outstanding candidate, for a change.

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Yeah Chas, lots of votes cast already. Just look at NC:

NORTH CAROLINA: FOUNTAIN OF YOUTH OR MASSIVE VOTER FRAUD?

According to reports, more than 2600 people over the age of 110 have already voted in North Carolina.

http://www.theblaze.com/blog/2012/10/22/north-carolina-fountain-of-youth-or-massive-voter-fraud/

New polls out today, likely voters:
Gallup: Romney +6 (51% of the vote)
Rasmussen: Romney +4

On another related note, there is a University of Colorado computer model that was created in 1980 and which has correctly predicted every presidential election since it's creation. It shows Romney winning in a massive landslide, with over 310 electoral votes, and +9% or more in popular vote.

Moe, The Blaze?? Really, worse than Faux News. Besides read the article again. It's talking about 2010

Moe, Seriously. The article is from 2010.

You guys aren't reading. The article is from 2012. It says "at this POINT in the 2010 election..." then goes on to comment on this presidential election. They are making a comparison.

Here is the accurate model: http://election.princeton.edu/ 99% chance that Obama wins 323 electoral votes. GOPers, it is time to give up.

Moe are you on kalob?

Susquehanna has been consistently the only poll to show that:

" A Susquehanna poll of Pennsylvania (commissioned by the Republican State Committee of Pennsylvania) showed Mitt Romney four points ahead there — the first poll of any kind showing Mr. Romney with a lead in Pennsylvania since another Susquehanna poll in February.

The catch is that Susquehanna has long shown much better results for Mr. Romney in Pennsylvania than other polls of the state. The five-point swing toward Mr. Romney in the poll is not inconsistent with what the other polls show, but Mr. Romney started from a higher baseline in the Susquehanna poll, having been down just one point in a poll they conducted in late September."

-http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/10/19/oct-18-obama-gains-in-forecast-on-resiliency-in-swing-state-polls/

The spelling and grammar you use, you have the nerve to call people who would choose Romney stupid?

maybe you should learn to spell

Who might you be referring to, Juliann?

oh boy ... At least he spelled "stupid" correctly.

Selectively choosing which polling responses to weight more heavily to conform to your assumptive model, in this case the 2004 model, has been pretty widely debunked - the whole premise of polling is to sample a representative portion of the population, if you have to weight your responses to do that, your polling methods or pool size are to blame. That, and using a 2004 model is pretty silly 8 years later - 2004's barely-showed-up 18-29 year olds have now both turned out in record numbers in '08 and are now in the much more reliable voting range of 26-37 year olds.

Everybody on both sides of this election should be mindful not to rush to embrace outlier polling that agrees with them.

Morgan, You forget that Jack is charming and entertaining. If he says this polling is right, it's right. He's in the majority you know. Besides Jack says romney will fix it, don't you believe him?

Here's the answer to what will definitely happen on Tuesday. 99% likelihood that Obama wins 323 electoral votes.

Whoa! Why are you screaming? How long would YOU, as an economics expert, think it would likely take to completely cure the economy-on-hospice the Republicans left? One issue voters who abandon President Obama because their personal situation has not improved 100% are not really thinking about what each of these men would mean for the future of the country as a whole. If you only care about one issue...good luck getting it fixed by a new guy who can't even decide what his position on ANYTHING is today!

Ms. Garcia, our entire family is doing better than we were at the end of the George W. Bush Administration. Both professionals in our home have jobs, our children saw pay increases this year in their part time work, our portfolios have been mended since the Republican over site disaster, and our insurance premiums went down, because our children have been put back on our family plan, as we no longer are having to purchase insurance for our kids individually.

What kind of work do you do and maybe you should shop around for a better insurance plan.

Lets leave our own self interest aside for a moment. Do you think the 300,000 troops serving in Iraq are better off than December 2008? Yeah, I thought so. It may be difficult finding good paying jobs here in the good ol USA, but that situation has to be better than waiting for the next mission defending some Sunni or shia politician or police station in Bagdad.

Obama inherited the worst economy since the Great Depression, and no one, democrat or republican could possibly fix it all in four years. You might want to check out Mitt's own personal track record more closely. Fact one- At Bain Capital, Romney saved companies through offshoring American jobs and received a 20K payday on each one. Fact two- He's flipped more posiitons since the primaries than our gymnastics team. Fact three- He's not for womans rights if you heard him in the primaries. Fact four- He ignored his country's call to service through deferments and was bicycling France while good men died in Vietnam. So given the choice between him or the president, I'll stick with the president.

Mr. Independent, you just wrote "Obama inherited the worst economy since the Great Depression."

And if Obama-Biden win again, they'll inherit a worse won.

YOU, Mr. Independent, are a spinner of truth, otherwise known as a falsifier of fact, known also as a liar. Please keep posting.

To Jack Minster, you can shove your insults where the sun doesn't shine pal!

Ah, finally we get to the truth of Mr. Independent. Uncivilized, rude, disingenuous.

The Obama electorate REPRESENTS!

Keep posting, Mr. Independent (read: Mr. "I wouldn't vote Republican if you threatened me with prison")

Minster you're the one who started with the insults, so who really is the uncivilized, rude and disingenous one here, your insults speak for themselves tea bagger

You hit the nail on the head Juliann. I know lots of people that voted for Obama and now regret it (including black Americans). Taxes up. Gas prices up. Food prices up. No raise in close to 5 years. Don't listen to the knuckle heads still blaming Bush.

Read Obama's own words, that he has "no regrets" for doing nothing about the economy in his first two years when Democrats were in control.

http://patriotupdate.com/31520/obama-absolutely-no-regrets-for-ignoring-economy-for-first-two-years

On Tuesday his ticket back to Chicago get punched.

Thought YOU voted in Canada, eh?!?

Great perspectives, Gregory. Everything you say is true!

Right Gregory, all symptoms of a very crooked system based on greed and avarice. You offer a more accurate perspective because of your age and experience. I have seen the degradation of what is called quality of life in the last 40 years too.

Big Business is the rule of the day. Sinking the middle class is "good for business". War is good for business and "our economy" - wait who's economy? Can't be ours because ours is crashing! Must be their economy, the ones that would rather cut medicaid and medicare to feed the war machine, and hire foreigners across the globe rather than hire their own brothers and sisters!

The American public is being manipulated out of their freedoms, their choices, their voices by the big business lobbyists...and this is what has become the measure of what we call success? There is no 'We The People' when third party candidates are denied equal air time in the National Debates. There is no 'Freedom and Justice For All' when Ron Paul (third in the polls) was denied his place in the National Convention. 11,000 people came to support Dr. Paul in Florida at the USF - the MSM didn't show up, only Faux News was there interviewing teen-aged girls in the hallways. College professors, students, politicians, men and women filled the stands, they weren't invited to be interviewed. Conspiracy is not a theory.

Hey since companies have been awarded Personhood in the US, like some Frankenstein creature -- why isn't the Fed Reserve running this year?

Thank you for your service Mr. Bell! I think it is pretty evident that Mitt Romney doesn't know the American people. Being born in Detroit does not actually make him a person in touch with the common families. Mitt is a child of privilege and there is nothing wrong with that however, he has never really lived among average Americans, or worked among average Americans to know how devastating a speculator like him has been to many American families.

Larry King to the four: "What amendment would you propose?"
Gary Johnson, "Term Limits". Virgil Goode "Term Limits". Jill Stein "Term Limits".
WOW - wouldn't it be great to hear THAT coming from Obama and Romney!

Indeed. King George lll would be proud. He finally won.

And the MSM calls the Tea Party violent.

Oh, please! Stop it! You are so silly it is not even funny!

Romney's business success basically consists of taking the many millions his Daddy left him and using it (along with the many connections he made by going to the most elite schools in the nation for his entire life) to start a group that basically buys struggling companies, guts their pensions, and liquidates them for a profit. Herman Cain was a better "business man" for crying out loud! At least he started from the bottom and worked his way up the corporate ladder.

As for him "saving" the Olympics, he used GOVERNMENT money to balance those books. Educate yourself....

Richard - know what you are talking about before you say something. It will keep you from looking foolish. .... Romney did not receive one dime from his father. Zero. Nothing. Got it?

Tim, you should really follow your own advice:

Mitt's father, George, died in 1995. Romney was already profoundly wealthy by 1995, so the question of whether Mitt inherited money is an intentional red herring, irrelevant to the question of whether he is a self-made man. (Chelsea Clinton hasn't inherited a penny from Bill or Hillary yet, but I wouldn't say she has struggled up from poverty.)

So Mitt's claim that his father left him nothing is deceptive in what it purports to say and, of course, also a literal lie. What a surprise. When asked about why his father would write his own kids out of his will Mitt (probably realizing belatedly that his lie made it sound like he must have done something truly horrible to written out of George's will like that) corrected the record.

"I figured we had enough of our own," he said. (Meaning they had enough that donating the bequest meant that they actually did keep a substantial part of the bequest in the form of tax savings. Think it through. Assuming Mitt pays taxes at all, and if the bequest was as small as half a million, then at 1995 rates that bequest would have had a cash value to Mitt of about $200,000.)

Since George Romney didn't die until 1995 it is really not very germane how much money he bequeathed Mitt, of course. Saying, "I never received help from my very wealthy father growing up," would be more to the point, but I doubt Mitt would care to make that claim.

So what Richard. What does it matter that Romney was born in a wealthy family some of our greatest presidents were born wealthy. And as far as using government money if you think that is a bad thing then you better not vote for Obama because spending other peoples money is his awnser for everything. he has no ideas how to fix anything he just throws taxpayer money at a problem and if that doesnt work he throws some more.

Why these people support a guy like Romney who has already said he thinks they are losers dependant of the government for everything (47%ers) is beyond me. Ann Romney has already referred to the general public as "you people" half a dozen times and has never worked a real job in her life. They are more like royality than the average American. Sorry but I truely believe if Obama was a white man named John Smith (or even Hillary), this election wouldn't even be close and "Obamacare" would be regarded as a great policy! The racism and hate many still have is sickening!

Richard - the answer is that there are people who suffer from the same delusion that there are a large number of "freeloaders" (aka Democrats) who don't want to work, and they are very certain that these "losers" will vote for Obama, whom they hate because he is a minority. There are more Archie Bunkers in town than I ever imagined. I hear them talking, they live right here, they are your neighbors.

Richard sometimes the truth hurts. Way to many people are becoming dependant on government. We should be providing a path for their independence but instead of making it possible for people to enjoy their liberty and freedoms we seem to want to become a welfare state and make them more dependant. I think its Obama who thinks he is royality and by making people dependant they will become his loyal subjects.

Jack, while I am not as wealthy as Mitt, I do "OK" and haven't paid an additional nickle in taxes since Obama took office. In fact, my tax burden has gone DOWN! I'm am not "envious" of Mitt's wealth but annoyed but the fact that he pretends to be this self made man when he is just another silver spoon elitest. I would have more respect for him if he was honest about his privileged upbringing.

And to answer your last question, I honestly believe Obama cares more about the poor and middle class than Mitt Romney. Romney's 47%ers speech (given to millionarie donors when he thought nobody else was listening) tells us more about what he really thinks of the "peasants" than any campaign speech or right wing talking point.

Neil, that is wishful thinking. The Philly burbs have tilted much more Democratic over the past 4 years (Montgomery Co. just elected a Democratic majority in the Commissioner's office for the first time in 100 years). The only reason the local Republican Reps can keep their seats is because they keep re-drawing the districts in to jigsaw pizzle pieces to supress minority voters. As for the rural part of the state (where few people actually live) the rednecks in coal country wouldn't vote for a black man if he went to each of their homes and gave them 10K so I'm not sure how that now spells doom for Obama.

Again, the money speaks louder than any BS poll and Romney isn't spending any here because he knows it is a lost cause.

Yes we will see on November 6th.

Jack "Off" Minster - It's pretty clear you are a Republican troll, possibly even on the local RNC payroll. Your nonsense (nor mine to be fair) isn't changing anyones mind at this point. The only poll that matters now will be done on November 6th. When Obama is re-elected for a second term, will you and the people you support reach across party lines to solve America's problems or will you continue to root for our nation to fail for political and racist reasons?

Peace out....

Wow Richard i couldnt believe your response " Jack "off" Minster". Its a nice comeback if your in the sixth grade but pretty pathetic for an adult.

It is a shame that so many are distracted by (usually intentionally) misleading talking points and 'what is the candidate REALLY like' celebrity nonsense instead of discussing actual policy issues. There is no reason that in 2012 every candidate shouldn't have highly detailed descriptions of proposed policies and budgets, with the actual numbers and language, available online for the public.

May I suggest you attend a good four year college in which a few basic courses in economics and money and banking are required. Short of that, read Secrets of the Temple, by William Greider. I'm sure you would reconsider your misinformed, ill-informed or just misguided opinion.

Obama has been outstanding, notwithstanding a GOP House that obstructed every effort and held the country economically hostage in order to obtain power. 1. Equal pay for equal work; 2. Ending 2 wars; 3; Saving the auto industry; 4. Enacting a version of universal health care that will eventually bring the USA into modern society; 5. ordering the killing of Osama bin Laden; 6. saving and creating millions of jobs through the recovery act; 7. passing Wall Street and banking reform; reigning in the confiscatory practices of credit card companies; 8. reducing taxes on the middle class; 9. improving education; 10. advancing clean energy; 11. growing technology and sophisticated industries; 12. reducing the defense department; 13. repealing don't ask, don't tell; and pushing back on the relentless war against women, including the vaginal probes and Sandusky policies so cherished by the tea party wackos.

Sorry but nothing I find on fringe right wing propaganda sites (or left wing propaganda sites for that matter) is going to change my vote. I'm guessing 95% of the people in America feel the same way.

Romney is done. Hopefully when Obama is elected to another term, you, Jack "off" Minster, and the rest of the tea baggers will do the honorable thing and either kill yourselves or move out of the country.

Sorry Richard, but questioning where the content comes from is not the same as questioning the content itself, which you didn't do, and I believe we all know why... It's a vicious pact of facts... As for Christie, he's happy to have the photo-op with Obama, and accept federal disaster funds... It raises his stature in NJ, and nationally as well... I didn't hear Christie refute any of the former criticisms of the Obama administration.... As for Obama, he leaped at the chance to have a photo-op with a conservative, so he could claim is bi-partisan success, as though the last four years never happened... He's been the most partisan president in our history... Between the economy, which still stinks, and this Benghazi disaster/disgrace/coverup, I don't believe Obama has much of a shot, despite the slanted polls giving him leads everywhere... The American people never accept incompetence and blatant dishonesty in the White House... There is no reason to believe they will do so in 2012...

Richard H. is 100% right. See this analysis: http://election.princeton.edu/

That wasn't the President's proposal; it was the hostage crisis imposed by the wackos in the GOP House. The President's budget added funds to FEMA to cover Joplin costs and medical monitoring for 9/11 first responders. It was the GOP nut jobs who insisted on pay-fors. So, Jack, you don't know yourself.

Tony, I haven't had my signs (Romney & Wolf) lifted yet, but I can tell you that the Romney/Ryan signs are outnumbering the Obama/Biden signs at about a 10 to 1 clip here in my neighborhood in Loudoun County...

Maybe Sandy Frankenstorm grabbed it... You know Mother Nature is a conservative...

Word has it, the coming GOP annihilation is going to be blamed on Hurricane Sandy. The beauty of this is that the hurricane was an Act of God. It follows, therefore, that God wants the President to be re-elected. See http://election.princeton.edu/ You Republicans are losers, and will lose big on Tuesday. So, just blame it on God, cause He doesn't like you.

Perhaps the Obama supporters were the ones smart enough to bring in their signs before the storm hit, and took them back outside again after the storm had passed.

Obama's signs are being stolen all over Chester County. It's been covered by the media. So spare your crocodile tears.

Yes Chester County, PA also. Other parts of the country are pointing to some sheet metal union guys running around and yanking Romney / Ryan signs. Got caught and arrested but I doubt they will face any problems. Doens't take away from the fact the other side is abusing peoples First Amendment rights.

I don't care for his policies, or his failures and lies on Benghazi... I don't hate the man...

Montgomery County (the 2nd richest in the state) has over 20K MORE Democrats registered than Republicans. Chester County (the richest state) has seen Democratic registration rise every year since 2004 (though it is still pretty "red" to be fair).

Sorry but this code word (urban = black and minority) stuff doesn't play anymore. You can't win PA with just the cities. You need the Suburbs (ie, HERE) and places where college educated, younger people live tend to vote Democrat. The Republican base is white males over 45 with no college education. Not a good long term demograpic.

In all seriousness, what are you going to do after Romney loses next week? Will you continue with the whining, slander, and hate or will you try to work together to solve or nations issues?

What poll shows "Dems will sit this one out"?

Never mind, I'm sure your reply will be as dumb as all your other posts. I'm done here until next Wednesday. I'll be back then to laugh. Until then, GFY!

Peace.

Jack, give up. You guys have already lost this one: http://election.princeton.edu/

A stunningly clever comeback. I salute you.

The American Spectator is a far-right wing rag. They don't publish articles. They publish propaganda and diatribes.

It's funny Jim, Sandy has not slowed down Mitts lying either. Changing his position on FEMA now amongst other things. How could anyone justify voting for someone who is incapable of stating a position and staying with it for more than one news cycle.

Obama has a history of hanging around with white hating and racist reverends. This guy was at his inauguration. Obama must have very poor judgement.

Reverend wright was his pastor and friend for 20 years and married him. He is a racist. Apple doesn't fall far from the tree

"GOD DAMN AMERICA"

"White America USA of KKK?"

Not someone a President should be hanging out

How can anyone vote for this man? Disgusting

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hwQWuQVE6sw

Any student of finance knows Bush has no power to spend money. It resides with congress....you know Obama, Biden, Casey, Reid, Pelosi......The clinton years were great?? Really Clinton added 40% to the national debt in his 8 years. Look it up. FACT.

Come on, explain for us all how Obama/Biden/Casey inherited this when they voted for it all? Show some proof. Any evidence. Point us to Bush's budget votes or where the Constitution authorizes the President to sign off on spending.
Explain this to us...Bush wasn't in office in 2010 right...spending and borrowing went up....HOLY CRAP....how is that possible??

• 2009 spending: $1.89 trillion
o $644 billion – Social Security
o $360 billion – Unemployment/Welfare/Other mandatory spending
o $408 billion – Medicare
o $224 billion – Medicaid
o $260 billion – Interest on National Debt

• 2010 spending: $2.173 trillion (+14.9%)
o $695 billion (+4.9%) – Social Security
o $571 billion (+58.6%) – Unemployment/Welfare/Other mandatory spending
o $453 billion (+6.6%) – Medicare
o $290 billion (+12.0%) – Medicaid
o $164 billion (+18.0%) – Interest on National Debt

Can't wait to see your response. It should be very simple to prove it was Bush's fault right??? Any student of finance would know where to look..............

Good common sense post Maxcine. I am continually amazed at how people totally forget how bad it got at the end of the last R administration . To think a bottomed out economy could totally rebound in 4 years just doesn't make sense.

David - apparently you are not educated enough to understand how the process works which I have posted. Neither Bush or Obama as President has any authority to spend money. They request budgets - both requested bad budgets over the last 4-8 years. Only congress can approve budgets. In 2007,08,09,10 Democrats controlled congress. They voted for the budgets. they own their votes and the budgets and are responsible for the outcomes. You want the easy way out because its convenient to blame Bush. Too bad, it's inaccurate. If lying makes you feel more like a man, enjoy that! I post facts. no one has yet proven me incorrect. You want to take a stab??

Excellent points Maxcine

IO, thanks for the third grade civics lesson. If you want to vote for a bald faced liar, who when he is not lying is drastically changing his position, be my guest. That is your right. I will always contend that Romney is a flawed canidate. He is a shape-shifter IO, and not worthy of the office.

That is correct MaryAnn. And who voted for Obama's 2009 and 2010 budgets? the Democrats who controlled congress.

In 2007 and 2008, Obama/Biden/Casey appropriated all of the spending you and others blame on Bush.

It's not possible.

Sorry Maynard - Obama is a spendthrift though along with Biden/Casey/Reid/Pelosi and any Repub who voted yes in 2007 - 2010.

Hey IO, can we at least blame the Iraq war on Bush and his collection of war-mongers. That, and yes a cratered economy is what Obama was left with. Get real Dude and look into recent history. The crap hit the fan well before Obama took office. Romney, if he stands for anything, would probably bring more failed R policies. And let's not even talk about some of the insane remarks by R canidates across the land. Legitimate rape vs Illegitimate rape--really?

The great thing about this is that all of the know-nothing tea baggers will have to crawl back into their holes in about 72 hours, as the President is certain to win 323 electoral votes. This is a certainty. http://election.princeton.edu/

Jack, if you say that the rude Dems represented 47% of your canvassing effort; I think I am going to die.

Ah Jack, how about that little problem we had over in Iraq? Did Barney Frank and Pelusi instigate that. That and the the ruined economy were what was left for Obama.
You and IO seem like numbers guys; what is the value for all of the lives that were destroyed because of the last R admin. You can't put any perfume on that pig Jack

"the Republican-led House and Democratic-led Senate by wide margins approved the resolution that Bush wanted"

Yes, after the Bush Administration duped them with knowingly false information.

Republican John Huntsman said it best about Mitt Romney: "He is a perfectly lubricated weathervane."

If there is a lack of coherence, you alone are responsible for that -- you brought up Iraq in the first place.

Yes, please do remember Chick-fil-A and how they have said that they will no longer be making donations to anti-gay organizations!

That's sweetly wishful thinking, but polls don't bear out anything that resembles a PA win for Romney outside a huge and unexpected upset. I'm on the suburban cusp of Philly and I have seen a grand total of 2 Romney signs and know zero people even considering a Romney vote. I'm sure the middle of the state will run red, but the Philly suburbs, outside of Bucks, are completely unlikely to swerve right. For all the hyperbole, this year has reflected nothing more than how un-bullshit-able the people in PA are.

We want middle class manufacturing jobs, accept that coal is a last-generation resource, understand the need for social platforms in our large cities, and want religious tolerance and individual freedom for everyone. The Tea Party platform just doesn't reflect even the most conservative ideals of PA - this is a bipartisan state that incorporates fiscally conservative spending, smart social projects, and Made-in-America manufacturing. I think we'd all welcome a real conservative party, as a check and balance to liberal spending, but the plutocratic religious fundamentalist Tea Party extreme has been rejected here - kindly take that platform somewhere else.

No?

Did it ever occur to you that comments like yours may be the best advertisement against voting for Romney and in favor of the President? Or, was that your goal?

And another example of a dedicated Obama Kool-Aid addict:

Democrat Jim Turner, who lives in North Carolina, stated on Facebook that he had voted four times already and plans on voting again.

http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-JTOQVj0CS_4/UJV_HaqnMLI/AAAAAAAABwI/WPiafEtDKU8/s1600/Voter%2BFraud.jpg-large

Jack, Jack, Jack... "Romney won't waste time blaming his predecessor..." Romney and his Super PAC friends have built their entire campaign on blaming Obama.

Spent lots of time yesterday flipping between Fox and MSNBC watching the various appearances by the candidates. Obama's closing argument is 75-80% "here's what I've done and here's what I plan to do." Romney's speeches are 90% gloom and doom - "we may face another depression" - and blame Obama.

If Obama had received an ounce of cooperation from the Repubs in Congress, the country would be in much better shape. Remember what Mitch McConnell promised in January 2009... So sad that the Repubs have party and ideology as their priority over the best interest of the country.

Has Obama delivered on everything he promised? Of course not, but name a politician who has. At least President Obama is man enough to admit he has fallen short in some areas and made mistakes. You never hear that kind of honesty and humility coming from Romney, Bush, Boehner, Cantor or McConnell.

Thanks for the link Pub, it's an outstanding election site.

If the Princeton Election Consortium is leaving out all the candidates on most state ballots, they need to re-think Civics Class 101. What are they teaching? Or not, is the more important question? Better get out that syllabus, and start rewriting it ASAP.

Sharpie, what are you talking about?